I want the deal that the US Government got
How they really feel about privacy
I took at look at the prediction market Kalshi recently, and came across something interesting on their FAQ page. This page appears to me to be largely
The Floating Droid
Assessing heterogeneity in METR's late 2025 developer productivity experiment
Update: Fixed exponentiation of estimated parameters.
Summary
I use data from METR's recent developer productivity experiment to assess the possibility of heterogeneity in the effect of AI on time to complete
Don't accuse your interlocutor of making arguments that aren’t rooted in evidence
This post is a sequel to my previous smash hit, don't accuse your interlocutor of being insufficiently truth-seeking. Like many good sequels, I've mostly just reskinned all the same
Does the First Amendment protect Anthropic from Hegseth?
Anthropic is embroiled in a standoff with Secretary Hegseth over how the company's AI offerings may be used in military applications:
For months, [Anthropic CEO Dario] Amodei has insisted that using
We are all legal realists now
The recent Supreme Court ruling in the tariffs case is a solid win for conservative proponents of the court. Having applied the major questions doctrine to ruled against the Trump administration, this case