Assume we want to know the probability that two events co-occur (i.e. of their conjunction). If the two events are independent, the probability of the co-occurrence is the product of the probabilities
Many arguments over the risks of advanced AI systems are long, complex, and invoke esoteric or contested concepts and ideas. I believe policy action to address the potential risks from AI is desirable
Several ex-employees of OpenAI filed an amicus brief in the Musk v OpenAI[1] case. This proposed brief argues that OpenAI should not be allowed to move from its existing nonprofit structure to
I argue that you shouldn't accuse your interlocutor of being insufficiently truth-seeking. This doesn't mean you can't internally model their level of truth-seeking and use that for
A prominent approach to AI safety goes under the name of "evals" or "evaluations". These are a critical component of plans that various major labs have, such as Anthropic&
