The power of low correlations
One innovation on social media that I perceive as having received a reasonable amount of praise from diverse constituencies is "Community Notes" on X (Twitter at
How they really feel about privacy
I took at look at the prediction market Kalshi recently, and came across something interesting on their FAQ page. This page appears to me to be largely
Update: Fixed exponentiation of estimated parameters.
Summary
I use data from METR's recent developer productivity experiment to assess the possibility of heterogeneity in the effect of AI on time to complete
Anthropic is embroiled in a standoff with Secretary Hegseth over how the company's AI offerings may be used in military applications:
For months, [Anthropic CEO Dario] Amodei has insisted that using
A Ponzi scheme is fraud where the fraudster induces investors to give the fraudster money with promises of profits, and then uses money from later investors to pay out earlier investors. This pattern,
