Scott Alexander has a recent piece about "deontological bars" in the context of AI safety. He describes the state of the discourse like this:
I’ve been thinking about this lately
The confusion
I recently came upon a comment which I believe reflects a persistent confusion among rationalist/EA types. I was reading this post which contains ideas that the other has but doesn&
The power of low correlations
One innovation on social media that I perceive as having received a reasonable amount of praise from diverse constituencies is "Community Notes" on X (Twitter at
Assume we want to know the probability that two events co-occur (i.e. of their conjunction). If the two events are independent, the probability of the co-occurrence is the product of
